This is the title of an article published in the conference on Wednesday January 31 by Alejandro Nadal COLMEX member and coordinator of the program on Science, Technology and Development from the same school.
This article indicates the ineptitude and ignorance of our "Mr." President Felipe Calderon, or fecal incontinence, which is the same.
How long will our leaders stop be submissive?. Enough! put aside their interests and hypocrisy and start to really worry about the people as they say it.
http://www.jornada.unam.mx
BRIC M is written without
By Alejandro Nadal
In 2003, the brokerage Goldman Sachs published a study on the future of the global economy in which he made reference to four countries Key: Brazil, Russia, India and China. The main thesis was that by 2050 these nations would be dominant powers and eclipse the rich economies of today. From this came the acronym BRIC to designate these four countries.
The basic premise of the report is that in four decades, the BRIC will have a leading role in finance, commerce, industry, science and technology worldwide. Its gross domestic product will be about $ 15 billion (calculated at purchasing power parity), magnitude greater than the GDP of the current G6 (U.S., Japan, Germany, France, England and Italy). According to these projections, each of the members of the BRIC economies would leave behind the G6, except the U.S. (which would only be surpassed by China in 2045).
During his visit to Davos, Felipe Calderón discovered the BRIC. And in a fit dared to suggest that from now on, the acronym BRIC M should include Mexico. But among the parade and the reality is a chasm: the voluntarism of Calderón is matched only by his ignorance of the mathematical model underlying the projections of the study by Goldman Sachs.
Is the Mexican economy comparable to that of members BRIC? By far the answer is negative. To begin, the Goldman Sachs projections rest on a basic premise: the BRIC must maintain institutions and pro-growth policies throughout the entire period. The conditions may change, but the support of the BRICs to the components of education and science must be constant. In Mexico it is the reverse: the per capita spending on education has had a pathetic performance for 20 years and the 2007 budget presented by Calderon announces changes.
For Goldman Sachs macroeconomic stability is important, but not the endogenous scientific and technological effort BRIC will not get far. In these countries, institutions for scientific and technological development are endogenous long history. Russia and China in the background are in their centrally planned economies.
India and Brazil are case apart. The subcontinent has always had centers of scientific and technological important. The nuclear industry in this country is not an isolated case and there are examples in almost all branches of economic activity from agriculture to automotive and machine tools.
For its part, Brazil has always protected the base Mexico lost industrial past two decades. The machine tool industry, to take one example, strengthened and diversified in the years that our country gave all the NAFTA maquiladora project. Brazil also learned to care for their public research centers have been key to grow and absorb foreign technology. The Mexican government destroys them. Today Brazil has the technology of oil exploration at great depths that Mexico did not develop because years ago the government preferred to suffocate the Mexican Petroleum Institute.
The BRIC is a common denominator: the state is key to the acquisition of endogenous scientific and technological capabilities. So excels in critical industries for growth: from aerospace to industrial machinery and equipment, pharmaceutical, and electronics.
The private sector in India and Brazil also was important, but subsidies, credit and protection were the seedbed in which private companies fruition. In Brazil has the third largest aviation aircraft manufacturer in the world, but Embraer began as a state company and whether it could consolidate in the market for passenger planes to feeder routes was because the Brazilian government gave in years the domestic market.
In Brazil and India, the defense of companies in intellectual property meant fierce battles in the World Trade Organization. If these two countries have embraced the WTO TRIPs, as Mexico did in the glorious days of the Secofi, the pharmaceutical industry would be on the floor.
The Goldman Sachs report is misleading. Members of BRICs did everything that the Washington Consensus conviction. Mexico, however, followed the prescriptions of neo-liberalism and not only dismantled their industry, but left the science and technology sector. The policies of Salinas and Zedillo, who so praised Calderon in Davos flattery implies resignation to acquire endogenous scientific and technological capacity.
A Calderon voluntarism with icons like the military. That reminds me of Benito Mussolini once said that all that was needed to transform Italy was will. But no, intelligence is also required not to end up in the dustbin of history. Of course, Mussolini M. Like it or not in Los Pinos, BRIC is written without M.
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